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20 results (page 1 of 2)

  • The dawn of civilization: Metal trade and the rise of hierarchy2024

    Author: Ludwig, M.; Flückiger, M.; Larch, M.; Pascali, L.Journal/Series: CEPR Working Paper DP18767 (Revise & Resubmit at American Economic Review)

    In the latter half of the fourth millennium BC, our ancestors witnessed a remarkable transformation, progressing from simple agrarian villages to complex urban civilizations. In regions as far apart as the Nile Valley, Mesopotamia, Central Asia, and the Indus Valley,…

  • Salinization and development2024

    Author: Ludwig, M.; Le, H. M.Journal/Series: (Revise & Resubmit at Journal of the European Economic Association)

    We study the impact of saltwater intrusion-a process intensified by climate change-on the livelihoods of farmers in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta, a large rice exporter. To capture spatiotemporal variations in salinization, we develop a localized index based on river salinity…

  • Roman transport network connectivity and economic integration2022

    Author: Ludwig, M.; Flückiger, M.; Hornung, E.; Larch, M.; Mees, A.Journal/Series: Review of Economic Studies, 89, 774–810

    We show that the creation of the first integrated pan-European transport network during Roman times influences economic integration over two millennia. Drawing on spatially highly disaggregated data on excavated Roman ceramics, we document that interregional trade was strongly influenced by…

  • The relationship between the youth-led Fridays for Future climate movement and voting, politician and media behaviour in Germany2025

    Author: Ludwig, M.; Fabel, M.; Flückiger, M.; Rainer, H.; Waldinger, M.; Wichert, S.Journal/Series: Nature Human Behaviour, 9, 481–495

    We study the relationship between the Fridays for Future climate protest movement in Germany and citizen political behaviour. In 2019, crowds of young protesters, mostly under voting age, demanded immediate climate action. Exploiting cell-phone-based mobility data and hand-collected information on…

  • Malaria suitability, urbanization and subnational development in sub-Saharan Africa2020

    Author: Ludwig, M.; Flückiger, M.Journal/Series: Journal of Urban Economics, 120

    Using subnational data, we document that the climatic suitability for malaria falciparum transmission constitutes a first-nature characteristic that influences today’s spatial distribution of urbanization and socioeconomic development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Both, levels of urbanization and development are lower in regions…

  • Taxation under direct democracy2022

    Author: Rösel, F.; Geschwind, S.Journal/Series: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 200, 536–554

    Do citizens legislate different tax policies than parliaments? We provide quasi-experimental evidence for causal effects of direct democracy. Town meetings (popular assemblies) replace local councils in small German municipalities below a specific population threshold. Difference-indifferences, RD and event study estimates…

  • Ineffective fiscal rules? The effect of public sector accounting standards on budgets, efficiency, and accountability2021

    Author: Dorn, F.; Gaebler, S.; Rösel, F.Journal/Series: Public Choice, 186(3–4), 387–412

    International organizations have encouraged national governments to switch from traditional cash-based to business-like accrual accounting, on the presumption that long-run benefits may outweigh substantial implementation and operating costs. We use a quasi-experimental setting to evaluate whether changing public sector accounting…

  • Migrating extremists2020

    Author: Ochsner, C.; Rösel, F.Journal/Series: The Economic Journal, 130(628), 1135–1172

    We show that migrating extremists shape political landscapes toward their ideology in the long run. We exploit the unexpected division of the state of Upper Austria into a US and a Soviet occupation zone after WWII. Zoning prompts large-scale Nazi…

  • Are doctors better health ministers?2020

    Author: Pilny, A.; Rösel, F.Journal/Series: American Journal of Health Economics, 6(4), 498–532

    Appointing or electing professionals to be public officials is a double-edged sword. Experts can use their rich knowledge to implement reforms, but they can also favor their own profession. In this study, we compare physician-trained state health ministers to ministers…

  • Electoral externalities in federations: Evidence from German opinion polls2020

    Author: Free, X.; Langer, S.; Lehmann, R.; Rösel, F.Journal/Series: Kyklos, 73(2), 227–252

    Party performance in state and federal elections is highly interdependent. Federal elections impact regional voting dynamics and vice versa (electoral externalities). We quantify the extent of simultaneous electoral externalities between two layers of government. We apply vector autoregressions with predetermined…

  • Compulsory voting and voter turnout: Empirical evidence from Austria2020

    Author: Gaebler, S.; Potrafke, N.; Rösel, F.Journal/Series: Regional Science and Urban Economics, 81, 103499

    We examine whether compulsory voting influences political participation as measured by voter turnout, invalid voting, political interest, confidence in parliament, and party membership. In Austria, some states temporarily introduced compulsory voting in national elections. We inves- tigate border municipalities across…

  • Sports clubs and populism: Quasi-experimental evidence from German cities2022

    Author: Rösel, F.; Foertsch, M.Journal/Series: CESifo Working Paper No. 10259

    Does social capital always promote solidarity and democracy, or are social networks such as sports clubs also vulnerable to populism? We exploit quasi-experimental variation in sports club membership in German cities. Sports clubs are booming in cities with successful soccer…

  • Online versus offline: Which networks track protests?2025

    Author: Rösel, F.; Potrafke, N.Journal/Series: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 229, 106856

    Does social media or offline social cohesion overcome collective action problems more effectively when both types of networks are prevalent? We investigate non-violent protests against a place-based economic reform in Austria—a country where one in two citizens uses Facebook but…

  • Party politics in Austria: From proportion to populism?2024

    Author: Rösel, F.Journal/Series: CESifo Economic Studies, 70(2), 73–83

    Party politics in Austria has two distinctive features: institutionalized power sharing between the two main parties, known as Proporz, and a longstanding tradition of far-right populism. I examine whether these two phenomena are connected: Does reduced political competition correlate with…

  • Activated history: The case of the Turkish sieges of Vienna2024

    Author: Rösel, F.; Ochsner, C.Journal/Series: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 16(3), 76–112

    We study whether long-gone but activated history can shape social attitudes and behavior even after centuries. We exploit the case of the sieges of Vienna in 1529 and 1683, when Turkish troops pillaged individual municipalities across East Austria. In 2005,…

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